Brazil Extends Voting Hours After Brief Ballot Count Pause Hot: Odds moved 26 points in 24 hours
The Supreme Court extended voting hours across the nation as electoral authorities paused ballot counting in one of its most tightly contested elections.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 1h 09m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 15% |
| 21 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 18% |
| 20 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 16% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 25 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 25 October at 20:08 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 1h 10m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 25 October at 22:15 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), South China Morning Post, Deutsche Welle.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? — the market puts it at 33%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the official voter turnout in Brazil's second-round presidential election falls between 80% and 82%, inclusive. The No outcome applies if the turnout is outside this range or if results are not reported by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsBrazil Extends Voting by Two Hours After Briefly Starting Count14%
- South China Morning PostBrazil pauses presidential vote count after Supreme Court extends voting hours20%▲7 points since the previous source
- Deutsche WelleBrazil elections: Vote counting resumes after extension32%▲12 points since the previous source
- Current odds33%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? 33% +26
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In this story
- Brazil
- Supreme Court