At least 54%
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved25 Oct 2027
Why it moved: −8 points at 05:36 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Social video captures moment Brazil’s election turned — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 9% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%