US House to Vote on Bipartisan Russia Sanctions Bill Next Week
The legislation, championed by the late Senator Lindsey Graham, aims to impose tariffs on nations importing Russian energy to support Ukraine.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 5 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 05:36 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 20:53 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 08:14 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 14:00 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Sept, 09:46 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Sept, 18:03 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Sept, 17:10 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Sept, 14:34 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 09:12 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 05:06 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Sept, 04:46 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Sept, 00:58 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Sept, 12:59 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Sept, 11:52 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 9 Sept 2026. The Hill News published first, on 9 September at 12:00 UTC; kyivindependent.com followed 27h 00m later. The most recent article, from kyivindependent.com, appeared on 11 September at 17:58 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), kyivindependent.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? — the market puts it at 8%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Ukraine agrees to cede territory to Russia in a publicly announced deal by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The agreement must involve the transfer of de facto military control or a formal concession, confirmed by an official announcement from either side or overwhelming consensus among credible news sources.
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Russian and Ukrainian officials hold an in-person diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Readers often mistake indirect talks through mediators for non-qualifying events, but these do count if authorized by the governments.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published.
- The Hill NewsThe House must turn the screws on Putin
- kyivindependent.comRussia sanctions bill faces make-or-break moment before US midterms, Ukraine says
- Just In NewsThe House must act to cut Putin's Arctic gas lifeline
- The HillHouse to take up Russia sanctions bill next week
- kyivindependent.comUS House to take up Graham's Russia sanctions bill next week
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- House to take up Russia sanctions bill next week The Hill ·
- The House must act to cut Putin's Arctic gas lifeline Just In News ·
- The House must turn the screws on Putin The Hill News ·
- US House to take up Graham's Russia sanctions bill next week kyivindependent.com
- Russia sanctions bill faces make-or-break moment before US midterms, Ukraine says kyivindependent.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? 8% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 24d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- House of Representatives
- Senate
- Lindsey Graham
- Donald Trump
- Russia
- Ukraine