Midterm Elections Bring Social Security Funding Crisis to Forefront Hot: $2.1M traded on its market in 24 hours
Candidates are outlining positions on the program as its trust fund faces depletion by 2032.
Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2033 20%Senate
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Markets on Senate
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Senate each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 06:04 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 67% |
Stories
Senate to Consider Permanent Daylight Saving Time Bill Amid Safety Concerns
The Senate reviews legislation to make daylight saving time permanent despite warnings that darker school mornings could endanger children.
Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 6%France Senate Approves Measure to Deduct Riot Damages From Housing Aid
The measure allows authorities to deduct riot-related damages from a family’s housing aid.
Senate Permitting Bill Could Cut Power Plant Emissions, Study Finds
A Resources for the Future analysis models how the Senate permitting plan would reduce power plant emissions and keep electricity prices down ahead of a Nov. 9 test vote.
Midterm Elections May Reshape US Healthcare Policy
Analysts anticipate that the upcoming midterm results will determine future legislative actions on healthcare affordability, Medicare, and abortion access.
Kalshi Health care 1% −1