United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby Calls for National Wealth Tax

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Inc. published first, on 19 October at 09:35 UTC; The Hill followed 29h 35m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 20 October at 15:09 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Inc..

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Oil — the market puts it at 84%, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The outcome is Yes if a United Airlines representative mentions oil during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. The outcome is No if they do not mention it in that specific event. Readers often mistake any general discussion of fuel costs for this resolution, but only explicit mentions by company representatives on the call count.
• Above 186 million — the market puts it at 75%, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if United Airlines reports more than 186 million passengers flown in 2026. It resolves to No if the number is 186 million or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on a specific date rather than the full year's total.
• Above 50.25 million — the market puts it at 55%, with $59 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 12 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if United Airlines reports carrying more than 50.25 million passengers in its third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if that number is 50.25 million or fewer. Readers often mistake the linked news story about airfare for the actual metric, but only the official passenger count matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.