Oil
Implied probability 84%
24-hour volume$12
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves31 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 84% |
| 18 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 84% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 83% |
| 14 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 83% |
| 14 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 80% |
| 14 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 81% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a United Airlines representative mentions oil during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. The outcome is No if they do not mention it in that specific event. Readers often mistake any general discussion of fuel costs for this resolution, but only explicit mentions by company representatives on the call count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%