Trump SCOTUS Win and Hasan Piker Lawsuit Discussed on Bloomberg Podcast
A Bloomberg Law podcast episode covers the recent Supreme Court decision involving Trump alongside news that Hasan Piker has filed a lawsuit.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 13:33 UTC | 17% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 30 October at 01:21 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 15%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump wins the trial-level ruling in his lawsuit against the British Broadcasting Corporation. It resolves to No if he does not achieve that superior outcome at this specific court level. Readers often mistake the deadline or confuse this case with other lawsuits involving Trump and media outlets.
- any 3rd Amendment case — the market puts it at 11%, with $497 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court agrees to hear any Third Amendment case before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the dismissal of a lower court lawsuit for the final resolution of the issue.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Before 2028 15%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi any 3rd Amendment case 11% +6
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- SCOTUS
- Hasan Piker