Before 2028
Implied probability 18%−3
24-hour volume$219
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 11 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 24% |
| 11 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Nov, 16:32 UTC | 20% |
| 11 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Nov, 03:49 UTC | 16% |
| 10 Nov, 23:28 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump wins the trial-level ruling in his lawsuit against the British Broadcasting Corporation. It resolves to No if he does not achieve that superior outcome at this specific court level. Readers often mistake the deadline or confuse this case with other lawsuits involving Trump and media outlets.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%