Trump Laments Upcoming New York Horse-Drawn Carriage Ban

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 22 October at 19:39 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Yes — the market puts it at 97%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a law banning horse-drawn carriages for hire becomes effective in New York City before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the headline's mention of 2028 as the deadline, but the actual cutoff is January 1, 2027.
• Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 25%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically enters the geographic boundaries of the U.S. Capitol between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not enter those boundaries within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Kennedy Center Honors for the relevant event, but only his presence at the Capitol counts.
• Before Trump's term ends — the market puts it at 14%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the President suspends the writ of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029. It resolves to 'No' if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about media bans for the triggering event, but only a suspension of habeas corpus counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.