Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 25%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically enters the geographic boundaries of the U.S. Capitol between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not enter those boundaries within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Kennedy Center Honors for the relevant event, but only his presence at the Capitol counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%