Trump and Mamdani meet at Gracie Mansion to discuss housing
President Trump and New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani held a cordial meeting at Gracie Mansion, agreeing to deepen talks on affordable housing despite political differences.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 17 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 13:06 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 10:13 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 20:53 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 16:58 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 19% |
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| 25 Sept, 05:56 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 19% |
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| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 19% |
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| 25 Sept, 02:53 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 12:09 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Sept, 10:19 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 08:16 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 04:30 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Sept, 06:21 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 04:54 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 03:22 UTC | 20% |
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| 23 Sept, 02:18 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Sept, 00:47 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Sept, 00:28 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 20% |
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| 22 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 22:28 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 21:53 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 21:19 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Sept, 19:35 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 17:54 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 13:23 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Sept, 13:23 UTC | 5% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? respond.
The story so far
17 publishers have covered this in 32 articles since 17 Sept 2026. Axios published first, on 17 September at 21:43 UTC; Times of India followed 29h 07m later. The most recent article, from Mother Jones, appeared on 24 September at 14:38 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Axios (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Politico (major outlet), Times of India, Fox News Politics and 5 more, all listed under Sources below.
One prediction market prices this story:
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? — the market puts it at 18%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade agreement with Vietnam becomes U.S. law by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This outcome requires the agreement to pass through Senate ratification or a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President. Readers often mistake the linked story about housing for relevant trade policy, but only actual trade legislation counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- AxiosScoop: Trump expected to meet with Venezuela's new leader—
- Times of IndiaTrump to meet Venezuela acting president, first meeting since Maduro’s removal—
- Fox News PoliticsTrump to meet with Mamdani in New York amid high-stakes midterm push—
- CBS News PoliticsTrump to meet Mamdani tomorrow in New York City—
- Just In NewsTrump, Mamdani to meet in New York on Monday—
- kyivindependent.comZelensky, Trump to meet in New York in talks that ‘could change a lot’—
- South China Morning PostTrump and Mamdani plan to meet in New York during US president’s UN visit—
- Bloomberg.comBessent-He Talks, Trump and Mamdani to Meet on Monday, More—
- Just In NewsZelensky to meet with Trump in New York this week—
- Bloomberg.comUS-China Talks, Trump and Mamdani to Meet in New York, More—
Show 22 later sources
- Bloomberg.comBessent-He Talks Conclude, Trump and Mamdani to Meet in New York—
- Bloomberg.comBessent-He Conclude Talks, Trump and Mamdani to Meet on Monday—
- Bloomberg.comUS-China Talks Conclude, Trump and Mamdani to Meet in New York—
- Bloomberg.comBessent Says Talks "Very Successful", Trump-Mamdani Meeting—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump to meet Macron in New York before UN General Assembly—
- ABC NewsBritain’s Burnham is set to meet Trump for the first time at the UN in New York—
- Washington PostTrump and Mamdani to meet in New York—
- Fox News PoliticsTrump, Mamdani set to meet again on mayor’s home turf after months of political whiplash5%
- Washington PostMamdani hosts Trump at Gracie Mansion as unlikely rapport continues5%
- The HillTrump says Mamdani has ‘great potential’ after Gracie Mansion visit5%
- AxiosTrump and Mamdani's unlikely rapport endures in New York5%
- Fortune‘You’re a going to be a great one’: Trump tells Mamdani he has ‘potential’ to be a great mayor and floats federal funds to his native Queens5%
- CBS News PoliticsNo network TV coverage on Trump amid his unprecedented media ban5%
- News FeedTrump and Mamdani strike friendly tone in New York City housing talks5%
- The Guardian USTrump and Mamdani appear friendly after ‘wide-ranging’ meeting at Gracie Mansion5%
- Fox News PoliticsMamdani tells Trump banned White House outlets are welcome at NYC meeting5%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMamdani challenges Trump over White House press ban during meeting5%
- Fox News PoliticsMamdani’s ‘mass engagement’ office draws fire over plans to build influence beyond City Hall: ‘NYC is done’5%
- CBS News PoliticsMamdani, Trump agree to continue discussion on making NYC more affordable5%
- The HillLoomer says she's 'pissed' at Trump for meeting Mamdani5%
- PoliticoMamdani and Trump face frosty reception in Queens over Sunnyside Yard plan21%▲16 points since the previous source
- Mother JonesExclusive: Mamdani on Extreme Weather, DoorDash, And Why Trump Likes Him So Much19%▼1 points since the previous source
- Current odds18%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Mamdani and Trump face frosty reception in Queens over Sunnyside Yard plan Politico ·
- Loomer says she's 'pissed' at Trump for meeting Mamdani The Hill ·
- Mamdani, Trump agree to continue discussion on making NYC more affordable CBS News Politics ·
- Mamdani challenges Trump over White House press ban during meeting Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump and Mamdani appear friendly after ‘wide-ranging’ meeting at Gracie Mansion The Guardian US ·
- Trump and Mamdani strike friendly tone in New York City housing talks News Feed ·
Show 26 more sources
- No network TV coverage on Trump amid his unprecedented media ban CBS News Politics ·
- Trump and Mamdani's unlikely rapport endures in New York Axios ·
- Trump says Mamdani has ‘great potential’ after Gracie Mansion visit The Hill ·
- Mamdani hosts Trump at Gracie Mansion as unlikely rapport continues Washington Post ·
- Trump and Mamdani to meet in New York Washington Post ·
- Britain’s Burnham is set to meet Trump for the first time at the UN in New York ABC News ·
- Bessent Says Talks "Very Successful", Trump-Mamdani Meeting Bloomberg.com ·
- US-China Talks Conclude, Trump and Mamdani to Meet in New York Bloomberg.com ·
- Bessent-He Conclude Talks, Trump and Mamdani to Meet on Monday Bloomberg.com ·
- Bessent-He Talks Conclude, Trump and Mamdani to Meet in New York Bloomberg.com ·
- US-China Talks, Trump and Mamdani to Meet in New York, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Zelensky to meet with Trump in New York this week Just In News ·
- Bessent-He Talks, Trump and Mamdani to Meet on Monday, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Trump, Mamdani to meet in New York on Monday Just In News ·
- Trump to meet Mamdani tomorrow in New York City CBS News Politics ·
- Scoop: Trump expected to meet with Venezuela's new leader Axios ·
- Exclusive: Mamdani on Extreme Weather, DoorDash, And Why Trump Likes Him So Much Mother Jones
- Mamdani’s ‘mass engagement’ office draws fire over plans to build influence beyond City Hall: ‘NYC is done’ Fox News Politics
- Mamdani tells Trump banned White House outlets are welcome at NYC meeting Fox News Politics
- ‘You’re a going to be a great one’: Trump tells Mamdani he has ‘potential’ to be a great mayor and floats federal funds to his native Queens Fortune
- Trump, Mamdani set to meet again on mayor’s home turf after months of political whiplash Fox News Politics
- Trump to meet Macron in New York before UN General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump and Mamdani plan to meet in New York during US president’s UN visit South China Morning Post
- Zelensky, Trump to meet in New York in talks that ‘could change a lot’ kyivindependent.com
- Trump to meet with Mamdani in New York amid high-stakes midterm push Fox News Politics
- Trump to meet Venezuela acting president, first meeting since Maduro’s removal Times of India
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? 18% −1
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Mamdani
- Laura Loomer
- Gracie Mansion
- New York City
- Sunnyside Yard