Trump Cancels Deposition In BBC Defamation Case
The president's lawyers confirmed he will not be questioned under oath in the defamation lawsuit regarding a 2020 election documentary.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 19% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 13 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 13 October at 19:45 UTC; The Guardian Business followed 1h 05m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Business, appeared on 13 October at 20:49 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 19%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump wins the trial-level ruling in his lawsuit against the British Broadcasting Corporation. It resolves to No if he does not achieve that superior outcome at this specific court level. Readers often mistake the deadline or confuse this case with other lawsuits involving Trump and media outlets.
- Before Trump's term ends — the market puts it at 14%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the President suspends the writ of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029. It resolves to 'No' if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about media bans for the triggering event, but only a suspension of habeas corpus counts.
- Before his term ends — the market puts it at 20%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. President is impeached by the House of Representatives and convicted by the Senate before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing aides for the actual impeachment process.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2028 19%
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- Kalshi Before Trump's term ends 14%
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- Kalshi Before his term ends 20% +3
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- BBC