Before his term ends
Implied probability 20%+3
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$747k
Liquidity$747k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 17% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the U.S. President is impeached by the House of Representatives and convicted by the Senate before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing aides for the actual impeachment process.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%