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Trump Calls on Fed's Powell to Resign Over Headquarters Renovation Mismanagement

President Donald Trump demands Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell resign following findings that the central bank mismanaged its headquarters renovation.

1 publisher · 8 articles · first seen 30 Sept 2026 · updated 2d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Before 2027
0%50%100%3%29 Sept, 20:51 UTCnowBloomberg.com: FlyDubai Rescue Latest; Trump Calls on Powell to Resign, More · 1 Oct, 10:25 UTCBloomberg Markets: Trump Calls for Powell to Resign From Fed Board · 1 Oct, 10:11 UTCBloomberg.com: Trump Says Powell Should Resign, FlyDubai Latest, More · 1 Oct, 09:48 UTCBloomberg.com: Trump Calls for Powell to Resign, FlyDubai Pilot Attack Probe · 1 Oct, 03:27 UTCBloomberg.com: Trump: Powell Should Resign, FlyDubai Plane Attack, More · 1 Oct, 01:43 UTCBloomberg.com: Trump Says Powell Should Resign, FlyDubai Attack Investigation · 1 Oct, 00:52 UTCBloomberg.com: Trump Calls for Powell's Resignation, FlyDubai Crash Averted · 30 Sept, 23:45 UTCBloomberg.com: Trump: Powell Should be Forced to Resign, FlyDubai Incident · 30 Sept, 23:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
2 Oct, 20:11 UTC3%
2 Oct, 15:44 UTC11%
1 Oct, 19:19 UTC10%
1 Oct, 14:52 UTC10%
30 Sept, 21:31 UTC14%
29 Sept, 20:51 UTC4%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 8 articles since 30 Sept 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 30 September at 23:00 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 1 October at 10:25 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if President Trump fires Jerome Powell before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not fire him by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a probe as the resolution event, but only an actual firing counts.
  • Before his term ends — the market puts it at 17%, with $794 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. President elected for the 2025–2029 term resigns from office before their term ends. It resolves to No if they do not resign within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a call for resignation as the triggering event, but only an actual resignation counts.
  • Doug Collins — the market puts it at 1%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Doug Collins becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave office or announce his departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this condition before any other cabinet member departs. Readers often mistake the trigger for any resignation rather than specifically being the first one, or they overlook the strict post-May 22, 2026 deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. FlyDubai Rescue Latest; Trump Calls on Powell to Resign, More Bloomberg.com ·
  2. Trump Calls for Powell to Resign From Fed Board Bloomberg Markets ·
  3. Trump Says Powell Should Resign, FlyDubai Latest, More Bloomberg.com ·
  4. Trump Calls for Powell to Resign, FlyDubai Pilot Attack Probe Bloomberg.com ·
  5. Trump: Powell Should Resign, FlyDubai Plane Attack, More Bloomberg.com ·
  6. Trump Says Powell Should Resign, FlyDubai Attack Investigation Bloomberg.com ·
  7. Trump Calls for Powell's Resignation, FlyDubai Crash Averted Bloomberg.com ·
  8. Trump: Powell Should be Forced to Resign, FlyDubai Incident Bloomberg.com ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Before 2027 3% −6 $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before his term ends 17% $794 24hends 21 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Doug Collins 1% $0 24hends 20 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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