The Hill Analysis: Gavin Newsom's Political Evolution
A political analysis describes California Governor Gavin Newsom as adapting his positions to fit the current environment.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 07:09 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 04:47 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 04:21 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 03:15 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 02:37 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 02:19 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 14:21 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 11:12 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 10:19 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 13% |
| 12 Sept, 23:57 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 12 Sept 2026. The Hill News published first, on 12 September at 14:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 12%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 8%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Gavin Newsom