Tejano singer Bobby Pulido targets Latino voters in Texas race Hot: Odds moved 12 points in 24 hours

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 4 October at 10:00 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• At least 54% — the market puts it at 24%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Bobby Pulido receives at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election. It resolves to No if he receives less than that threshold. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the deciding factor, but only the certified official vote count determines the outcome.
• Bobby Pulido — the market puts it at 81%, with $544 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome depends on which party holds the US House seat for Texas District 15 when the new term begins in 2027. A 'Yes' result occurs if that member is a Democrat, while 'No' applies if they are not. Readers often mistake the linked news story about election chances for the actual resolution criteria.
• Pulido, 2+ pts — the market puts it at 64%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Texas's 15th District by a margin of at least two percentage points. The outcome is No if the Democratic Party wins by less than two percentage points or loses the race entirely. Readers often mistake the linked story about Bobby Pulido for the decisive factor, but only the final certified election results determine the resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.