Bobby Pulido
Implied probability 73%−1
24-hour volume$642
Total volume$463k
Liquidity$463k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 69% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome depends on which party holds the US House seat for Texas District 15 when the new term begins in 2027. A 'Yes' result occurs if that member is a Democrat, while 'No' applies if they are not. Readers often mistake the linked news story about election chances for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 73%
- No 27%