At least 54%
Implied probability 24%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 26 Sept, 10:01 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Bobby Pulido receives at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election. It resolves to No if he receives less than that threshold. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the deciding factor, but only the certified official vote count determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%