Talarico Holds Slight Lead in Texas Senate Race Poll
A new NBC 5 Dallas/Telemundo poll shows Democratic candidate James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton by three points among registered voters.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? 41% −1
- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? 78%
- Polymarket Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 2%
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 41% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 41% |
| 21 Sept, 10:31 UTC | 41% |
| 21 Sept, 10:17 UTC | 41% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 42% |
| 18 Sept, 02:54 UTC | 41% |
| 17 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 42% |
| 17 Sept, 19:37 UTC | 41% |
| 17 Sept, 13:21 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Sept, 11:01 UTC | 42% |
| 17 Sept, 10:55 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Sept, 02:52 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 44% |
| 16 Sept, 20:16 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Sept, 16:53 UTC | 44% |
| 16 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Sept, 05:49 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Sept, 03:58 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 45% |
| 15 Sept, 23:40 UTC | 46% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 45% |
| 15 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 48% |
| 14 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 49% |
| 14 Sept, 19:22 UTC | 49% |
| 14 Sept, 18:21 UTC | 50% |
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In this story
- James Talarico
- Ken Paxton
- Texas