Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Implied probability 3%−1
24-hour volume$315k
Total volume$11.8M
Liquidity$625k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if James Talarico wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or declines it after winning. Readers often mistake the linked Senate endorsement for a relevant event, but only the final presidential nomination matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%