Sullivan, Peltola Spar in Fiery Final Alaska Senate Debate

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 16 Oct 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 16 October at 09:00 UTC; The Hill News followed 5h 47m later. The most recent article, from The Hill News, appeared on 16 October at 14:46 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Fox News Politics.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2? — the market puts it at 9%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Dan Sullivan’s odds exceed Mary Peltola’s on PredictionMarketOdds.com for four consecutive hourly data points before November 3, 2026. The outcome depends strictly on these specific numerical values from that website, not on news reports or election results. Readers often mistake the deadline as Election Day rather than the specified date in late 2026.
• At least 46% — the market puts it at 92%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Mary Peltola receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 46%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
• Dan Sullivan — the market puts it at 27%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the date of the linked debate for the resolution deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.