Dan Sullivan
Implied probability 27%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$234k
Liquidity$234k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 27% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 26% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the date of the linked debate for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 27%
- No 73%