Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 12% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Dan Sullivan’s odds exceed Mary Peltola’s on PredictionMarketOdds.com for four consecutive hourly data points before November 3, 2026. The outcome depends strictly on these specific numerical values from that website, not on news reports or election results. Readers often mistake the deadline as Election Day rather than the specified date in late 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 91%
Trade this market on Polymarket →