NewsMarkets

Politics

Michigan Dem Haley Stevens Endorses GOP Senate Rival Mike Rogers, Sparking Backlash

Rep. Haley Stevens endorses Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan's Senate race, prompting staff resignations and condemnation from party leaders.

4 publishers · 7 articles · first seen 1 Nov 2026 · updated 18m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by The Hill, 5 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Mike Rogers, 0-2%
0%50%100%17%31 Oct, 18:21 UTCnowThe Hill: RNC says 'Michigan should take notice' of Stevens endorsing Rogers · 1 Nov, 20:00 UTCThe Hill: Trump commends Stevens' 'bravery' for endorsing Rogers · 1 Nov, 19:52 UTCThe Hill: Schumer calls Stevens's Rogers endorsement 'a despicable betrayal' · 1 Nov, 19:48 UTCAxios: "Petty, selfish, unhinged": Haley Stevens' staff and colleagues erupt at her "betrayal" · 1 Nov, 19:39 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Michigan Dem Haley Stevens endorses Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers · 1 Nov, 18:51 UTCThe Hill: Stevens staff resign over Rogers endorsement · 1 Nov, 18:45 UTCMother Jones: Here Are Some Things Haley Stevens Said About Mike Rogers Before Endorsing Him · 1 Nov, 19:27 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now17%
1 Nov, 20:07 UTC17%
1 Nov, 19:09 UTC18%
31 Oct, 18:21 UTC15%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 1 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 1 November at 18:45 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 1 November at 20:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), Mother Jones.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Mike Rogers, 0-2% — the market puts it at 17%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Mike Rogers wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by a margin between zero and two percent. The outcome is No if his victory margin falls outside that range or if he loses. Readers often mistake the date of the linked resignation story for the resolution deadline, but the actual deadline is the certification of the 2026 election results.
  • Rogers, 3+ pts — the market puts it at 13%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Republican candidate wins the 2026 Michigan Senate election by a margin of at least three percentage points. It resolves to No if the Republican candidate wins by less than three points or loses the race entirely. Readers often mistake the endorsement mentioned in the linked story for the actual election result, but only the final certified vote count determines the outcome.
  • John James and Mike Rogers win — the market puts it at 7%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if both the Michigan Governor and the Michigan Senate races are won by Republican candidates. It resolves to No if either candidate loses or if a non-Republican wins either seat. Readers often mistake the linked endorsement story as sufficient for resolution, but only the final election results determine the outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. RNC says 'Michigan should take notice' of Stevens endorsing Rogers The Hill ·
  2. Trump commends Stevens' 'bravery' for endorsing Rogers The Hill ·
  3. Schumer calls Stevens's Rogers endorsement 'a despicable betrayal' The Hill ·
  4. "Petty, selfish, unhinged": Haley Stevens' staff and colleagues erupt at her "betrayal" Axios ·
  5. Michigan Dem Haley Stevens endorses Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  6. Stevens staff resign over Rogers endorsement The Hill ·
  7. Here Are Some Things Haley Stevens Said About Mike Rogers Before Endorsing Him Mother Jones

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Mike Rogers, 0-2% 17% +2 $2k 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Rogers, 3+ pts 13% +1 $2k 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi John James and Mike Rogers win 7% +2 $2k 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.