John James and Mike Rogers win
Implied probability 7%+2
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$35k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 20:00 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if both the Michigan Governor and the Michigan Senate races are won by Republican candidates. It resolves to No if either candidate loses or if a non-Republican wins either seat. Readers often mistake the linked endorsement story as sufficient for resolution, but only the final election results determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%