Mike Rogers, 0-2%
Why it moved: +3 points at 19:09 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Michigan Dem Haley Stevens endorses Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 19:09 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Mike Rogers wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by a margin between zero and two percent. The outcome is No if his victory margin falls outside that range or if he loses. Readers often mistake the date of the linked resignation story for the resolution deadline, but the actual deadline is the certification of the 2026 election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 83%