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Sienna Spiro Wins Best New Artist at MTV VMAs After Standing Ovation Hot: Odds moved 29 points in 24 hours

The singer takes home the award after receiving a standing ovation for her performance of 'Great Expectation' at the ceremony.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 28 Sept 2026 · updated 1h ago

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi SIENNA SPIRO 73% $0 24hends 1 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi SIENNA SPIRO 50% +29 $338 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will Cortis win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? No 18m ago

    The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

How the odds moved · SIENNA SPIRO
0%50%100%73%27 Sept, 01:46 UTCnowBillboard: Sienna Spiro Gets Standing Ovation After Performing ‘Great Expectation’ at VMAs · 28 Sept, 02:46 UTCRolling Stone: Sienna Spiro Nabs Best New Artist at 2026 MTV Video Music Awards · 28 Sept, 02:18 UTCRolling Stone: Sienna Spiro Lives Up to ‘Great Expectations’ With Debut MTV VMAs Performance · 28 Sept, 01:25 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now73%
27 Sept, 01:46 UTC73%

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How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on SIENNA SPIRO at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Rolling StoneSienna Spiro Lives Up to ‘Great Expectations’ With Debut MTV VMAs Performance73%
  2. Rolling StoneSienna Spiro Nabs Best New Artist at 2026 MTV Video Music Awards73%
  3. BillboardSienna Spiro Gets Standing Ovation After Performing ‘Great Expectation’ at VMAs73%
  4. Current odds73%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Sienna Spiro Gets Standing Ovation After Performing ‘Great Expectation’ at VMAs Billboard
  2. Sienna Spiro Nabs Best New Artist at 2026 MTV Video Music Awards Rolling Stone
  3. Sienna Spiro Lives Up to ‘Great Expectations’ With Debut MTV VMAs Performance Rolling Stone

In this story

  • Sienna Spiro
  • MTV Video Music Awards

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