Will Cortis win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: −24 points at 02:48 UTC, after Billboard: Sienna Spiro Gets Standing Ovation After Performing ‘Great Expectation’ at VMAs — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 25% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cortis is the official winner of the Best New Artist category at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. It resolves to No if another artist wins, if Cortis was not nominated when nominees were announced, or if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline or rely on unofficial reports instead of official MTV sources.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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