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Putin's United Russia wins supermajority in Russian parliamentary election

The ruling party secures a landslide victory in Russia's first wartime vote, which included polling stations in annexed Ukrainian territories.

10 publishers · 39 articles · first seen 17 Sept 2026 · updated 39d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
0%50%100%100%16 Sept, 22:50 UTCnowABC News: Russia's parliamentary election result underscores public support for Kremlin policies, Putin says · 23 Sept, 16:29 UTCNews Feed: Putin’s ‘war heroes’ form new political elite in Russian parliament · 22 Sept, 04:00 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Putin’s party wins supermajority in Russia’s parliamentary vote · 21 Sept, 20:17 UTCABC News: Main Kremlin party keeps control of Russia’s parliament after orchestrated vote · 21 Sept, 08:54 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Russia election results show Putin’s party winning: What we know · 21 Sept, 08:47 UTCNPR World: How Russia's parliamentary election might affect the war in Ukraine · 21 Sept, 08:39 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Polls close in Russian wartime election with ruling party set to dominate · 20 Sept, 22:54 UTCABC News: Russia's first wartime parliamentary election shows Kremlin dominance all but assured · 20 Sept, 16:54 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Russia reports ‘powerful’ cyberattacks on second day of parliamentary vote · 19 Sept, 15:18 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Russia’s elections are more than political theatre · 19 Sept, 06:46 UTCNPR World: Russia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war · 19 Sept, 06:39 UTCABC News: Russian holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war · 19 Sept, 04:26 UTCNPR World: Russians head to the polls to choose lawmakers for their parliament · 18 Sept, 23:04 UTCLatest articles: Why Russia’s Potemkin election actually matters · 25 Sept, 08:13 UTCTimes of India: Putin says record turnout shows Russians back his military agenda in Ukraine · 23 Sept, 17:43 UTCkyivindependent.com: There are no elections in Russia, only theatre · 23 Sept, 14:02 UTCTimes of India: Putin's party wins again as expected. So why does Russia still hold elections? · 23 Sept, 12:03 UTCkyivindependent.com: How Russia used parliamentary elections to legitimize occupation of Ukrainian territories · 22 Sept, 18:36 UTCkyivindependent.com: Russia's rigged election gives Putin a mandate for all-out war · 22 Sept, 06:45 UTCLatest articles: Pro-Putin United Russia party gets record 355 parliamentary seats · 22 Sept, 00:35 UTCkyivindependent.com: Russia's election is over. Could mobilization be next? · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTCDeutsche Welle: Russia: Putin party retains majority in controlled parliamentary vote · 21 Sept, 10:48 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Putin party retains majority in first vote since 2022 invasion of Ukraine · 21 Sept, 09:38 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Russia: Kremlin party dominates controlled vote · 21 Sept, 08:52 UTCLatest articles: Russia’s ruling party set for big win in parliamentary elections · 21 Sept, 02:49 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Live: Putin's party dominates in elections, Moscow vows revenge after massive drone attack · 21 Sept, 02:28 UTCkyivindependent.com: Putin's ruling party set to claim 'victory' in Russian parliamentary election, in results deemed predetermined · 20 Sept, 23:04 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Russia's ruling party on track to win election after Ukraine's drone attacks on Moscow · 20 Sept, 20:14 UTCTimes of India: Russia wraps up first wartime parliamentary election, Kremlin set to retain control · 20 Sept, 19:51 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Putin’s party set to retain majority after Russia vote marred by cyberattacks, drones · 20 Sept, 14:47 UTCLatest articles: Drones hit Moscow as Russians go to the polls · 20 Sept, 09:19 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Live: Russian election enters final day in shadow of war in Ukraine · 20 Sept, 05:16 UTCkyivindependent.com: Russia claims cyberattacks on voting systems during parliamentary election · 20 Sept, 04:30 UTCDeutsche Welle: Russia votes for new parliament in controlled elections · 19 Sept, 07:21 UTCTimes of India: Putin tightens grip on Russian elections with anti-war opposition squeezed out · 19 Sept, 04:36 UTCLatest articles: Russians fear Putin will send them to war once election is over · 19 Sept, 02:13 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Ukraine strikes continue as polling stations open in Russia · 18 Sept, 13:31 UTCFox News World: ‘Voters get to choose — just not the result’: Russia’s parliamentary election reaches occupied Ukraine · 18 Sept, 10:00 UTCTimes of India: Russia kicks off voting in first parliamentary election since Ukraine war began · 17 Sept, 20:55 UTC

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The story so far

10 publishers have covered this in 39 articles since 17 Sept 2026. Times of India published first, on 17 September at 20:55 UTC; Fox News World followed 13h 05m later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 25 September at 08:13 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: NPR World (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Times of India, Fox News World, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Latest articles, Deutsche Welle, kyivindependent.com.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? — resolved “Yes” on 25 Sept 2026. The Yes outcome requires United Russia to receive the most valid votes in every single region where the Central Election Commission separately reports party-list results. The No outcome occurs if United Russia fails to lead in even one of these regions, or if definitive results are not available by September 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
  • Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? — resolved “No” on 25 Sept 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if United Russia secures 60% or more of the federal party-list vote, while No applies if it falls below that threshold. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day itself, but the market resolves based on results known by September 30, 2027. The source of truth is official Russian government data, not media reports, and only federal party-list votes count.
  • Before 2027 — the market puts it at 10%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Ukraine holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that event does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about Russia for the actual condition, but only the Ukrainian election matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Times of IndiaRussia kicks off voting in first parliamentary election since Ukraine war began65%
  2. Fox News World‘Voters get to choose — just not the result’: Russia’s parliamentary election reaches occupied Ukraine61%▼4 points since the previous source
  3. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUkraine strikes continue as polling stations open in Russia61%
  4. NPR WorldRussians head to the polls to choose lawmakers for their parliament61%
  5. Latest articlesRussians fear Putin will send them to war once election is over61%
  6. ABC NewsRussian holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war61%
  7. Times of IndiaPutin tightens grip on Russian elections with anti-war opposition squeezed out61%
  8. NPR WorldRussia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war61%
  9. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRussia’s elections are more than political theatre61%
  10. Deutsche WelleRussia votes for new parliament in controlled elections61%
  11. Show 29 later sources
    1. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRussia reports ‘powerful’ cyberattacks on second day of parliamentary vote66%▲5 points since the previous source
    2. kyivindependent.comRussia claims cyberattacks on voting systems during parliamentary election70%▲3 points since the previous source
    3. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Russian election enters final day in shadow of war in Ukraine70%
    4. Latest articlesDrones hit Moscow as Russians go to the polls72%▲3 points since the previous source
    5. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesPutin’s party set to retain majority after Russia vote marred by cyberattacks, drones72%
    6. ABC NewsRussia's first wartime parliamentary election shows Kremlin dominance all but assured71%▼1 points since the previous source
    7. Times of IndiaRussia wraps up first wartime parliamentary election, Kremlin set to retain control66%▼5 points since the previous source
    8. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesRussia's ruling party on track to win election after Ukraine's drone attacks on Moscow67%▲1 points since the previous source
    9. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPolls close in Russian wartime election with ruling party set to dominate92%▲25 points since the previous source
    10. kyivindependent.comPutin's ruling party set to claim 'victory' in Russian parliamentary election, in results deemed predetermined92%
    11. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Putin's party dominates in elections, Moscow vows revenge after massive drone attack94%▲2 points since the previous source
    12. Latest articlesRussia’s ruling party set for big win in parliamentary elections94%
    13. NPR WorldHow Russia's parliamentary election might affect the war in Ukraine99%▲5 points since the previous source
    14. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRussia election results show Putin’s party winning: What we know99%
    15. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesRussia: Kremlin party dominates controlled vote99%
    16. ABC NewsMain Kremlin party keeps control of Russia’s parliament after orchestrated vote99%
    17. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesPutin party retains majority in first vote since 2022 invasion of Ukraine99%
    18. Deutsche WelleRussia: Putin party retains majority in controlled parliamentary vote97%▼2 points since the previous source
    19. kyivindependent.comRussia's election is over. Could mobilization be next?98%▲1 points since the previous source
    20. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPutin’s party wins supermajority in Russia’s parliamentary vote98%
    21. Latest articlesPro-Putin United Russia party gets record 355 parliamentary seats99%▲1 points since the previous source
    22. News FeedPutin’s ‘war heroes’ form new political elite in Russian parliament99%▲1 points since the previous source
    23. kyivindependent.comRussia's rigged election gives Putin a mandate for all-out war99%
    24. kyivindependent.comHow Russia used parliamentary elections to legitimize occupation of Ukrainian territories99%
    25. Times of IndiaPutin's party wins again as expected. So why does Russia still hold elections?99%
    26. kyivindependent.comThere are no elections in Russia, only theatre99%
    27. ABC NewsRussia's parliamentary election result underscores public support for Kremlin policies, Putin says99%
    28. Times of IndiaPutin says record turnout shows Russians back his military agenda in Ukraine99%
    29. Latest articlesWhy Russia’s Potemkin election actually matters99%
  12. Market resolved: Yes

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Russia's parliamentary election result underscores public support for Kremlin policies, Putin says ABC News ·
  2. Putin’s ‘war heroes’ form new political elite in Russian parliament News Feed ·
  3. Putin’s party wins supermajority in Russia’s parliamentary vote Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  4. Main Kremlin party keeps control of Russia’s parliament after orchestrated vote ABC News ·
  5. Russia election results show Putin’s party winning: What we know Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  6. How Russia's parliamentary election might affect the war in Ukraine NPR World ·
Show 33 more sources
  1. Polls close in Russian wartime election with ruling party set to dominate Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  2. Russia's first wartime parliamentary election shows Kremlin dominance all but assured ABC News ·
  3. Russia reports ‘powerful’ cyberattacks on second day of parliamentary vote Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  4. Russia’s elections are more than political theatre Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  5. Russia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war NPR World ·
  6. Russian holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war ABC News ·
  7. Russians head to the polls to choose lawmakers for their parliament NPR World ·
  8. Why Russia’s Potemkin election actually matters Latest articles
  9. Putin says record turnout shows Russians back his military agenda in Ukraine Times of India
  10. There are no elections in Russia, only theatre kyivindependent.com
  11. Putin's party wins again as expected. So why does Russia still hold elections? Times of India
  12. How Russia used parliamentary elections to legitimize occupation of Ukrainian territories kyivindependent.com
  13. Russia's rigged election gives Putin a mandate for all-out war kyivindependent.com
  14. Pro-Putin United Russia party gets record 355 parliamentary seats Latest articles
  15. Russia's election is over. Could mobilization be next? kyivindependent.com
  16. Russia: Putin party retains majority in controlled parliamentary vote Deutsche Welle
  17. Putin party retains majority in first vote since 2022 invasion of Ukraine France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  18. Russia: Kremlin party dominates controlled vote France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  19. Russia’s ruling party set for big win in parliamentary elections Latest articles
  20. Live: Putin's party dominates in elections, Moscow vows revenge after massive drone attack France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  21. Putin's ruling party set to claim 'victory' in Russian parliamentary election, in results deemed predetermined kyivindependent.com
  22. Russia's ruling party on track to win election after Ukraine's drone attacks on Moscow France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  23. Russia wraps up first wartime parliamentary election, Kremlin set to retain control Times of India
  24. Putin’s party set to retain majority after Russia vote marred by cyberattacks, drones France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  25. Drones hit Moscow as Russians go to the polls Latest articles
  26. Live: Russian election enters final day in shadow of war in Ukraine France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  27. Russia claims cyberattacks on voting systems during parliamentary election kyivindependent.com
  28. Russia votes for new parliament in controlled elections Deutsche Welle
  29. Putin tightens grip on Russian elections with anti-war opposition squeezed out Times of India
  30. Russians fear Putin will send them to war once election is over Latest articles
  31. Ukraine strikes continue as polling stations open in Russia France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  32. ‘Voters get to choose — just not the result’: Russia’s parliamentary election reaches occupied Ukraine Fox News World
  33. Russia kicks off voting in first parliamentary election since Ukraine war began Times of India

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Yes 39d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? No 39d ago

    The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before 2027 10% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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