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Russia holds parliamentary vote in occupied Ukraine regions Hot: $2.6M traded on its market in 24 hours

Moscow conducts its first State Duma election since the 2022 invasion, extending polling to annexed Ukrainian territories amid tight controls.

8 publishers · 10 articles · first seen 17 Sept 2026 · updated 2h ago

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How the odds moved · Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
0%50%100%1%18 Sept, 08:09 UTCnowAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Russia’s elections are more than political theatre · 19 Sept, 06:46 UTCNPR World: Russia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war · 19 Sept, 06:39 UTCABC News: Russian holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war · 19 Sept, 04:26 UTCNPR World: Russians head to the polls to choose lawmakers for their parliament · 18 Sept, 23:04 UTCDeutsche Welle: Russia votes for new parliament in controlled elections · 19 Sept, 07:21 UTCTimes of India: Putin tightens grip on Russian elections with anti-war opposition squeezed out · 19 Sept, 04:36 UTCLatest articles: Russians fear Putin will send them to war once election is over · 19 Sept, 02:13 UTCFrance 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Ukraine strikes continue as polling stations open in Russia · 18 Sept, 13:31 UTCFox News World: ‘Voters get to choose — just not the result’: Russia’s parliamentary election reaches occupied Ukraine · 18 Sept, 10:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
19 Sept, 09:19 UTC1%
19 Sept, 08:59 UTC1%
19 Sept, 08:20 UTC1%
18 Sept, 08:09 UTC7%

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How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Times of IndiaRussia kicks off voting in first parliamentary election since Ukraine war began
  2. Fox News World‘Voters get to choose — just not the result’: Russia’s parliamentary election reaches occupied Ukraine7%
  3. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUkraine strikes continue as polling stations open in Russia7%
  4. NPR WorldRussians head to the polls to choose lawmakers for their parliament7%
  5. Latest articlesRussians fear Putin will send them to war once election is over7%
  6. ABC NewsRussian holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war7%
  7. Times of IndiaPutin tightens grip on Russian elections with anti-war opposition squeezed out7%
  8. NPR WorldRussia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war7%
  9. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRussia’s elections are more than political theatre7%
  10. Deutsche WelleRussia votes for new parliament in controlled elections7%
  11. Current odds1%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Russia’s elections are more than political theatre Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  2. Russia holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war NPR World ·
  3. Russian holds parliamentary vote in areas it seized from Ukraine in the war ABC News ·
  4. Russians head to the polls to choose lawmakers for their parliament NPR World ·
  5. Russia votes for new parliament in controlled elections Deutsche Welle
  6. Putin tightens grip on Russian elections with anti-war opposition squeezed out Times of India
  7. Russians fear Putin will send them to war once election is over Latest articles
  8. Ukraine strikes continue as polling stations open in Russia France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
  9. ‘Voters get to choose — just not the result’: Russia’s parliamentary election reaches occupied Ukraine Fox News World
  10. Russia kicks off voting in first parliamentary election since Ukraine war began Times of India

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