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Before 2027

Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Ukraine holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that event does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about Russia for the actual condition, but only the Ukrainian election matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 10%
  • No 90%

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