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Rivian Sets New Sales Record With 19,248 Vehicle Deliveries in Q3

The electric vehicle maker delivered 19,248 vehicles from July through September, topping analyst expectations of 18,000 units.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Above 46000
0%50%100%92%1 Oct, 13:26 UTCnowTechCrunch: Rivian’s R2 just helped it set a new sales record · 2 Oct, 13:17 UTCQuartz: Rivian's vehicle deliveries rose 46% year over year in the third quarter · 2 Oct, 13:40 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now92%
1 Oct, 13:26 UTC92%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Oct 2026. TechCrunch published first, on 2 October at 13:17 UTC; Quartz followed 23 min later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 2 October at 13:40 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: TechCrunch (major outlet), Quartz.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Above 46000 — the market puts it at 92%, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Rivian delivers more than 46,000 total vehicles in 2026. It resolves to No if the company delivers 46,000 or fewer vehicles that year. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year rather than the specific delivery count threshold.
  • Above 13500 — resolved “Yes” on 2 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Rivian reports delivering more than 13,500 vehicles in the third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if the total is 13,500 or fewer. Readers often mistake the linked Q3 2025 news for the relevant period, but only Q3 2026 data counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Rivian’s R2 just helped it set a new sales record TechCrunch ·
  2. Rivian's vehicle deliveries rose 46% year over year in the third quarter Quartz

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Above 46000 92% $0 24hends 31 Mar 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Above 13500 Yes 56m ago

    The market favoured Yes at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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