Republicans See Pickup Opportunity in New Hampshire Senate Race
Former Senator John E. Sununu is running against Rep. Chris Pappas for a retiring seat, drawing GOP cash and threatening Democrats.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 09:18 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 95% |
| 1 Nov, 23:07 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 95% |
| 1 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 16:22 UTC | 95% |
| 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 94% |
| 31 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 08:34 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 11:51 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 92% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 92% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 91% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 89% |
| 17 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 91% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 90% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 89% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 90% |
| 8 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 89% |
| 8 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 90% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 89% |
| 8 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 90% |
| 7 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 89% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 89% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 90% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 90% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 86% |
| 29 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 87% |
| 29 Sept, 16:39 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Sept, 12:08 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Sept, 14:32 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Sept, 01:39 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 08:01 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Sept, 07:04 UTC | 89% |
| 24 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 87% |
| 23 Sept, 00:47 UTC | 86% |
| 22 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 13:23 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Sept, 06:39 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Sept, 21:09 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Sept, 16:02 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Sept, 15:02 UTC | 82% |
| 21 Sept, 10:37 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 84% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 82% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 20 Sept 2026. The Hill News published first, on 20 September at 10:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Democratic nominee wins the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Republican or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the final official certification for the primary resolution trigger; the market actually resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate.
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked Senate race headline for the relevant contest, but this market depends solely on the governor's race results.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes 10h ago
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? No 4h ago
The market favoured No at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- John E. Sununu
- Chris Pappas
- Republicans
- Democrats
- New Hampshire