Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Why it moved: −4 points at 10:28 UTC, after The Hill News: Republicans see bright spot in New Hampshire with Sununu — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 11:07 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 10% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked Senate race headline for the relevant contest, but this market depends solely on the governor's race results.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
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