Trump attends UNGA with camera off as global leaders debate conflicts and succession
The UN General Assembly concludes its general debate amid tensions over wars in Ukraine, Sudan, and Gaza, while the search for Antonio Guterres' successor remains unresolved.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 88 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 46% |
The story so far
19 publishers have covered this in 89 articles since 19 Sept 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 19 September at 21:05 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 15h 25m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 2 October at 16:47 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: NPR World (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Times of India, South China Morning Post, Deutsche Welle, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines and 7 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by October 31? — resolved “Yes” on 2 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Emmanuel Macron engage in any verbal conversation by phone or video call before 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if no such interaction occurs within that window or if credible media cannot confirm the timing of a reported call by 11:59 PM ET three days after the market's deadline.
- United Nations — the market puts it at 20%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the United States fully withdraws from the United Nations before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline.
- United Arab Emirates — the market puts it at 7%, closing 1 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in the United Arab Emirates after their scheduled August 15, 2025 encounter in Alaska and before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if this specific meeting does not occur within that timeframe or location. Readers often mistake the August 2025 Alaska meeting for the decisive event, but only a subsequent meeting in the UAE counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by October 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- NPR PoliticsThe high stakes drama a reporter has seen covering the UN General Assembly—
- Bloomberg MarketsGlobal Conflicts Shape High Stakes UN Meetings—
- NPR WorldFormer UN Deputy Secretary General on the role of the UN in today's biggest conflicts—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAntonio Guterres: Can the UN still meet today’s global crises?—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraState of world getting worse as UN Security Council paralysed: Guterres—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUN Chief Guterres calls for ban on ‘killer robots’—
- NPR WorldAI and autonomous weapons are high on the agenda at the UN General Assembly—
- Times of India‘Global order under stress’: Jaishankar calls for stronger multilateralism at UNGA—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUN General Assembly 2026: When is it, who is speaking and when?—
- South China Morning PostIndonesia’s UN Security Council bid tests non-aligned diplomacy—
Show 79 later sources
- NPR WorldPolitical scientist on what's at stake as Trump speaks to world leaders at UNGA—
- Deutsche WelleUN General Assembly opens with Trump, Lula, others in NYC—
- Deutsche WelleUN General Assembly opens with Macron, Trump, Erdogan, Lula, others in NYC—
- Deutsche WelleUNGA: Trump and world leaders discuss global conflicts—
- CBS NewsTrump to address U.N. General Assembly as he navigates Iran, Gaza, Ukraine conflicts—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Guterres to open UN General Assembly in final speech of his mandate—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMacron, Trump hold 'constructive' talks ahead of UN General Assembly—
- The Guardian USTrump set to address UNGA with Middle East and Ukraine on agenda – US politics live—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesWars, AI and climate on agenda as world leaders meet at UN—
- Just In NewsTrump’s address kicks off jam-packed day at UNGA—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUN General Assembly live: Trump, Qatar emir to speak as Iran war dominates—
- The HillLive updates: Trump to address UN General Assembly as global conflicts take center stage—
- Washington PostU.N. General Assembly set to open in New York amid wars in Iran and Ukraine—
- News FeedDonald Trump to address world leaders at the UN—
- The HillWatch live: Trump addresses UN General Assembly, meets with world leaders—
- The HillWhite House outlines Trump talking points ahead of high-profile UN speech—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesREPLAY: UN chief Guterres makes final address to the General Assembly—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesGuterres delivers 'message to superpowers' in last UN General Assembly speech—
- Fox News PoliticsTrump defends US interventions abroad ahead of 'big decision' on Iran: 'Settling years of unfinished business'—
- The HillTrump tells CNN's Collins 'you shouldn't be here' on way into UN—
- The HillCuba walks out of UN General Assembly as Trump says 'freedom will be coming'—
- Bloomberg.comTrump Defends Iran Conflict in Speech at United Nations General Assembly—
- Bloomberg MarketsBrazil Election: Lula Warns Against Meddling at UN as Trump Looms Over Vote—
- The Hill5 things to know about Trump’s speech to the United Nations—
- Times of IndiaFrom ‘annihilate Iran’ to ‘super intelligence’, Trump's boasts of US power at UNGA—
- Roll Call‘Into hell’: Trump signals aggressive lame-duck foreign policy at UN—
- QuartzSam Altman and Dario Amodei are set to brief the UN Security Council on AI safety—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraLula warns against foreign interference, defends Brazil’s sovereignty at UN—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump's world? Leaders navigate consequences of US policy—
- Fox News PoliticsTrump ally skips UNGA for first time — months after face-to-face with president gave way to bitter clash—
- Bloomberg MarketsTrump 'Came Off Looking Desperate' in UN Speech, Says Brett Bruen—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMacron urges world to 'stand firm' against 'abuse of power by empires' in final UN speech—
- CBS News9/22: The Takeout with Major Garrett—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesGuterres pleads for 'world built on interdependence' in final General Assembly address—
- NPR WorldThe United Nations General Assembly is meeting. Is it accomplishing anything?—
- Bloomberg.comTrump Hails Productive Talks With Iran Envoys After UN Speech—
- The Hill5 takeaways from Trump’s whirlwind day at UN General Assembly—
- CBS News PoliticsTrump uses U.N. speech to openly muse about attacking Iran—
- Inside Climate NewsCompeting Climate Visions Clash at UN General Assembly—
- Times of IndiaPeacemaker with a warning to annihilate: The major contradictions in Trump's UN speech—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUN Secretary General Guterres urges reforms of Security Council—
- NPR WorldTrump lays out his agenda as middle powers call for more cooperation at UNGA—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUN General Assembly quiz: Who said these 10 famous quotes?—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesAI takes centre stage at UN General Assembly—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines'Shame': Macron slams Trump's Gaza diplomacy in final UN speech—
- NPR WorldU.S. ambassador to the U.N. discusses Trump's address at UNGA—
- NPR WorldU.N. Ambassador Mike Waltz on Iran, Venezuela and Trump's foreign policy—
- NPR PoliticsTrump touts his economy and U.S. actions in Iran in UNGA address—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUN General Assembly live: Iran’s Pezeshkian, Ukraine’s Zelenskyy to speak—
- businessinsider.comTrump’s calls a Middle Eastern country the world’s “number one sponsor” of Africa’s top security concern at UNGA, declares US military the world’s most powerful—
- The Guardian USTrump addresses UN with mixture of boasts, threats and jibes | First Thing—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUN General Assembly enters second day with key speeches ahead—
- News FeedIran’s president to address UN after Trump threatens ‘annihilation’—
- NPR WorldU.S. ambassador to the U.N. discusses progress on key issues—
- The Guardian USTrump’s UN speech was delusional and dangerous | Kenneth Roth—
- Deutsche WelleWho is skipping the UN General Assembly — and why—
- Times of India'Int'l system broken': Rubio's msg amid UNGA, says US interests above world order—
- The Guardian USThe Guardian view on the future of the UN: more embattled, but more necessary, than ever | Editorial—
- Fox News PoliticsMelania Trump reveals 'the world's biggest untapped economic force' to kick off landmark NYSE summit—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesFact-checking Trump’s speech at the United Nations General Assembly—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Netanyahu faces UN over Gaza as Abbas set to address assembly by video—
- NPR WorldIsrael's prime minister to give an address at the U.N.—
- Fox News WorldMelania Trump’s home-country leader rips UN ‘double standards’ as Trump promise is revealed—
- Mother JonesClimate Visions Clash at UN Summit, as Trump Goes in Whole Hog for Fossil Fuels—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesThreat to 'life and existence': Major takeaways from Palestinian president's UN speech—
- Washington PostWhat does Trump want with the U.N.?—
- NPR WorldTrump and Xi strike cordial tone at summit. And, Netanyahu gives defiant UNGA speech—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesEach side feels it 'could get a decisive military victory' in Sudan, Trump's Africa envoy says—
- Deutsche WellePakistan's Sharif rails against India, praises Trump at UNGA—
- Inside Climate NewsClimate Crisis Is No Longer a ‘Distant Warning,’ UN Leader Says—
- Bloomberg MarketsSearch for the Next Leader of the UN—
- The Guardian USIn his final UN speech, Macron may have given other leaders a valuable parting gift: the guts to stand up to Trump | Steve Bloomfield—
- Latest articlesTrump is setting up the U.N. and its next leader for failure—
- Just In NewsTrump administration rejects UN pandemic preparedness declaration—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUNGA 81: Five key takeaways from general debate—
- Just In NewsDon't let our next UN secretary-general be a shill for China, Cuba and Hamas—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSudan takes centre stage on final day of UNGA—
- The Guardian USWar, power games and impunity. I watched the farce that is the UN general assembly: what a tragedy, what a mess | Nesrine Malik—
- The HillPresident Trump has his camera off for G7 leader zoom46%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- President Trump has his camera off for G7 leader zoom The Hill ·
- War, power games and impunity. I watched the farce that is the UN general assembly: what a tragedy, what a mess | Nesrine Malik The Guardian US ·
- Sudan takes centre stage on final day of UNGA Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Don't let our next UN secretary-general be a shill for China, Cuba and Hamas Just In News ·
- UNGA 81: Five key takeaways from general debate Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump administration rejects UN pandemic preparedness declaration Just In News ·
Show 83 more sources
- In his final UN speech, Macron may have given other leaders a valuable parting gift: the guts to stand up to Trump | Steve Bloomfield The Guardian US ·
- Search for the Next Leader of the UN Bloomberg Markets ·
- Trump and Xi strike cordial tone at summit. And, Netanyahu gives defiant UNGA speech NPR World ·
- What does Trump want with the U.N.? Washington Post ·
- Israel's prime minister to give an address at the U.N. NPR World ·
- The Guardian view on the future of the UN: more embattled, but more necessary, than ever | Editorial The Guardian US ·
- Trump’s UN speech was delusional and dangerous | Kenneth Roth The Guardian US ·
- U.S. ambassador to the U.N. discusses progress on key issues NPR World ·
- Iran’s president to address UN after Trump threatens ‘annihilation’ News Feed ·
- Trump addresses UN with mixture of boasts, threats and jibes | First Thing The Guardian US ·
- UN General Assembly live: Iran’s Pezeshkian, Ukraine’s Zelenskyy to speak Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump touts his economy and U.S. actions in Iran in UNGA address NPR Politics ·
- U.S. ambassador to the U.N. discusses Trump's address at UNGA NPR World ·
- U.N. Ambassador Mike Waltz on Iran, Venezuela and Trump's foreign policy NPR World ·
- UN General Assembly quiz: Who said these 10 famous quotes? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump lays out his agenda as middle powers call for more cooperation at UNGA NPR World ·
- Trump uses U.N. speech to openly muse about attacking Iran CBS News Politics ·
- 5 takeaways from Trump’s whirlwind day at UN General Assembly The Hill ·
- Trump Hails Productive Talks With Iran Envoys After UN Speech Bloomberg.com ·
- The United Nations General Assembly is meeting. Is it accomplishing anything? NPR World ·
- 9/22: The Takeout with Major Garrett CBS News ·
- Trump 'Came Off Looking Desperate' in UN Speech, Says Brett Bruen Bloomberg Markets ·
- Lula warns against foreign interference, defends Brazil’s sovereignty at UN Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- 5 things to know about Trump’s speech to the United Nations The Hill ·
- Brazil Election: Lula Warns Against Meddling at UN as Trump Looms Over Vote Bloomberg Markets ·
- Trump Defends Iran Conflict in Speech at United Nations General Assembly Bloomberg.com ·
- Cuba walks out of UN General Assembly as Trump says 'freedom will be coming' The Hill ·
- Trump tells CNN's Collins 'you shouldn't be here' on way into UN The Hill ·
- White House outlines Trump talking points ahead of high-profile UN speech The Hill ·
- Watch live: Trump addresses UN General Assembly, meets with world leaders The Hill ·
- Donald Trump to address world leaders at the UN News Feed ·
- U.N. General Assembly set to open in New York amid wars in Iran and Ukraine Washington Post ·
- Live updates: Trump to address UN General Assembly as global conflicts take center stage The Hill ·
- UN General Assembly live: Trump, Qatar emir to speak as Iran war dominates Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump’s address kicks off jam-packed day at UNGA Just In News ·
- Trump set to address UNGA with Middle East and Ukraine on agenda – US politics live The Guardian US ·
- Trump to address U.N. General Assembly as he navigates Iran, Gaza, Ukraine conflicts CBS News ·
- Political scientist on what's at stake as Trump speaks to world leaders at UNGA NPR World ·
- UN General Assembly 2026: When is it, who is speaking and when? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- AI and autonomous weapons are high on the agenda at the UN General Assembly NPR World ·
- UN Chief Guterres calls for ban on ‘killer robots’ Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- State of world getting worse as UN Security Council paralysed: Guterres Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Antonio Guterres: Can the UN still meet today’s global crises? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Former UN Deputy Secretary General on the role of the UN in today's biggest conflicts NPR World ·
- Global Conflicts Shape High Stakes UN Meetings Bloomberg Markets ·
- The high stakes drama a reporter has seen covering the UN General Assembly NPR Politics ·
- Trump is setting up the U.N. and its next leader for failure Latest articles
- Climate Crisis Is No Longer a ‘Distant Warning,’ UN Leader Says Inside Climate News
- Pakistan's Sharif rails against India, praises Trump at UNGA Deutsche Welle
- Each side feels it 'could get a decisive military victory' in Sudan, Trump's Africa envoy says France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Threat to 'life and existence': Major takeaways from Palestinian president's UN speech France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Climate Visions Clash at UN Summit, as Trump Goes in Whole Hog for Fossil Fuels Mother Jones
- Melania Trump’s home-country leader rips UN ‘double standards’ as Trump promise is revealed Fox News World
- Live: Netanyahu faces UN over Gaza as Abbas set to address assembly by video France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Fact-checking Trump’s speech at the United Nations General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Melania Trump reveals 'the world's biggest untapped economic force' to kick off landmark NYSE summit Fox News Politics
- 'Int'l system broken': Rubio's msg amid UNGA, says US interests above world order Times of India
- Who is skipping the UN General Assembly — and why Deutsche Welle
- UN General Assembly enters second day with key speeches ahead France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump’s calls a Middle Eastern country the world’s “number one sponsor” of Africa’s top security concern at UNGA, declares US military the world’s most powerful businessinsider.com
- 'Shame': Macron slams Trump's Gaza diplomacy in final UN speech France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- AI takes centre stage at UN General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- UN Secretary General Guterres urges reforms of Security Council France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Peacemaker with a warning to annihilate: The major contradictions in Trump's UN speech Times of India
- Competing Climate Visions Clash at UN General Assembly Inside Climate News
- Guterres pleads for 'world built on interdependence' in final General Assembly address France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Macron urges world to 'stand firm' against 'abuse of power by empires' in final UN speech France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump ally skips UNGA for first time — months after face-to-face with president gave way to bitter clash Fox News Politics
- Trump's world? Leaders navigate consequences of US policy France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Sam Altman and Dario Amodei are set to brief the UN Security Council on AI safety Quartz
- ‘Into hell’: Trump signals aggressive lame-duck foreign policy at UN Roll Call
- From ‘annihilate Iran’ to ‘super intelligence’, Trump's boasts of US power at UNGA Times of India
- Trump defends US interventions abroad ahead of 'big decision' on Iran: 'Settling years of unfinished business' Fox News Politics
- Guterres delivers 'message to superpowers' in last UN General Assembly speech France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- REPLAY: UN chief Guterres makes final address to the General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Wars, AI and climate on agenda as world leaders meet at UN France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Macron, Trump hold 'constructive' talks ahead of UN General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Live: Guterres to open UN General Assembly in final speech of his mandate France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- UN General Assembly opens with Trump, Lula, others in NYC Deutsche Welle
- UN General Assembly opens with Macron, Trump, Erdogan, Lula, others in NYC Deutsche Welle
- UNGA: Trump and world leaders discuss global conflicts Deutsche Welle
- Indonesia’s UN Security Council bid tests non-aligned diplomacy South China Morning Post
- ‘Global order under stress’: Jaishankar calls for stronger multilateralism at UNGA Times of India
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by October 31? Yes 32d ago
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
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- Kalshi United Nations 20%
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- Kalshi United Arab Emirates 7%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- United Nations General Assembly
- Antonio Guterres
- Macron
- Netanyahu
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett