Massie Moves to Impeach Defense Secretary Hegseth Over Iran War

The story so far

9 publishers have covered this in 19 articles since 15 Sept 2026. Axios published first, on 15 September at 16:38 UTC; The Hill followed 12 min later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 19 September at 20:13 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Axios (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Mother Jones.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? — the market puts it at 7%, with $694 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth stops serving as Secretary of Defense at any point before October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of his resignation or removal by that deadline triggers a Yes outcome, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the date of an announced departure for the effective date, but only the cessation of service matters.
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? — the market puts it at 25%, with $783 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Pete Hegseth stops being Secretary of Defense at any point before December 31. An announcement of his resignation or removal before that date triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change happens later. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the actual effective date of his departure.
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 1%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. For the outcome to be "Yes," Thomas Massie must win and accept the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources. For the outcome to be "No," he does not meet this condition. Readers often mistakenly believe that any replacement nominee before election day would change the resolution, but the market only considers who wins and accepts the nomination.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.