Protesters Rally Against Trump's Proposed Arch in D.C.
Demonstrators gather to oppose the monument while relying on upcoming midterms and legal challenges.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 51% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 58% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Oct 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 2 October at 21:44 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 58%, with $177 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C., after the issuance date and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the proposal itself for the start of construction.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 58% −5
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