Paxton's Wife Urges GOP Women to Vote Republican Despite Strain

Texas state Rep. Angela Paxton tells conservative women to support the party in her estranged husband Ken Paxton's Senate race.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 23 Sept 2026 · updated 44d ago

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26 Sept, 13:06 UTC	38%
26 Sept, 12:13 UTC	40%
26 Sept, 09:57 UTC	39%
26 Sept, 06:32 UTC	39%
26 Sept, 06:25 UTC	39%
26 Sept, 04:01 UTC	40%
26 Sept, 03:53 UTC	39%
26 Sept, 03:08 UTC	40%
26 Sept, 02:24 UTC	39%
26 Sept, 00:41 UTC	39%
25 Sept, 23:08 UTC	38%
25 Sept, 21:41 UTC	39%
25 Sept, 19:18 UTC	39%
25 Sept, 16:04 UTC	39%
25 Sept, 15:57 UTC	38%
25 Sept, 14:16 UTC	40%
25 Sept, 13:04 UTC	41%
25 Sept, 12:57 UTC	40%
25 Sept, 12:04 UTC	42%
25 Sept, 11:29 UTC	43%
25 Sept, 10:50 UTC	42%
25 Sept, 06:54 UTC	43%
25 Sept, 06:03 UTC	42%
25 Sept, 05:43 UTC	43%
25 Sept, 05:10 UTC	42%
25 Sept, 02:06 UTC	43%
25 Sept, 01:33 UTC	42%
25 Sept, 01:26 UTC	43%
25 Sept, 00:52 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 22:53 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 21:46 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 21:25 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 20:52 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 20:10 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 19:56 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 19:24 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 18:41 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 18:24 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 16:26 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 15:03 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 14:36 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 10:12 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 09:56 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 09:22 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 06:37 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 06:22 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 05:41 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 04:30 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 04:23 UTC	42%
24 Sept, 03:26 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 01:27 UTC	43%
24 Sept, 00:55 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 22:27 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 21:50 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 21:29 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 20:34 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 20:27 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 19:01 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 18:47 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 18:06 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 17:52 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 17:18 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 16:49 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 16:27 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 15:54 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 13:28 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 12:14 UTC	43%
23 Sept, 10:42 UTC	42%
23 Sept, 09:28 UTC	43%
22 Sept, 07:00 UTC	42%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 23 Sept 2026. The Hill News published first, on 23 September at 13:37 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 5h 53m later. The most recent article, from Washington Post, appeared on 24 September at 22:15 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), Fox News Politics.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Ken Paxton — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Texas for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked article about Paxton's wife for the actual event, but only the official swearing-in of a Republican senator counts.
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by a margin of at least 3 percentage points. The outcome is No if the Republican Party wins by less than 3 percentage points or loses the election. Readers often mistake the required margin, thinking any win counts instead of the specific 3-point threshold.
Paxton defeats Talarico — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Ken Paxton wins the Republican nomination and then wins the general election before January 2027. The outcome is No if he fails to secure the nomination or loses the general election within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about his wife for a rule change, but only official election results determine the resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Ken Paxton at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

23 Sept, 13:37The Hill News Ken Paxton’s estranged wife tells GOP women: Vote Republican ‘even if we’re mad’42%
23 Sept, 19:30Fox News Politics Paxton’s estranged wife breaks silence on Texas Senate race after 'biblical grounds' divorce43%▲1 points since the previous source
24 Sept, 22:15Washington Post In Texas, Talarico pitches a Fox News debate as Paxton stays silent43%▼1 points since the previous source
4 Nov, 04:16Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Ken Paxton No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved Ken Paxton, 3+ pts No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved Paxton defeats Talarico No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

In this story

Ken Paxton
Angela Paxton

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