Patriots Rule Out CB Gonzalez, DT Barmore Ahead of Sunday's Game Against Bills Hot: $351k traded on its market in 24 hours
The New England Patriots will be without starting cornerback Christian Gonzalez and defensive tackle Christian Barmore due to injuries when they visit the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 30% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 2 October at 17:20 UTC; www.espn.com followed 45 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 2 October at 18:05 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Patriots vs. Bills — the market puts it at 26%, with $26k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Oct 2026. The Patriots outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 1:00 PM ET. The Bills outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which is based on the official game result rather than the news headline about player injuries.
- Spread: Bills (-6.5) — the market puts it at 53%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Oct 2026. The Bills outcome occurs if they win by seven points or more. The Patriots outcome applies if they win, tie, or lose by six points or fewer. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement to cover the spread rather than winning by that margin.
- Buffalo — the market puts it at 75%, with $351k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Buffalo Bills win their game against the New England Patriots on October 4, 2026. The outcome is No if they do not win that specific game. Readers often mistake this market for resolving based on the linked injury report or a different week's matchup.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Patriots vs. Bills 26% −2
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Wrong market?
- Polymarket Spread: Bills (-6.5) 53%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Buffalo 75% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- New England Patriots
- Christian Gonzalez
- Christian Barmore
- Buffalo Bills