Spread: Bills (-6.5)
Implied probability 53%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$85k
Liquidity$215k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Bills outcome occurs if they win by seven points or more. The Patriots outcome applies if they win, tie, or lose by six points or fewer. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement to cover the spread rather than winning by that margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bills 53%
- Patriots 48%
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