Patriots vs. Bills
Implied probability 26%−2
24-hour volume$26k
Total volume$43k
Liquidity$498k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 30% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Patriots outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 1:00 PM ET. The Bills outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which is based on the official game result rather than the news headline about player injuries.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Patriots 26%
- Bills 75%
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