OpenAI to Make AI Models Available on Google Cloud
The partnership allows customers to access frontier models and Codex workflows via Gemini’s Model Garden and the Marketplace.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 07:50 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 7% |
| 19 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 22:14 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 8% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 21:52 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 08:52 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 19:20 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 06:50 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 14:50 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 12:37 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 10% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 21 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 21 October at 11:20 UTC; OpenAI followed 40 min later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 21 October at 12:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Quartz, OpenAI.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — the market puts it at 6%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves by checking the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. OpenAI wins if its model holds the highest rank or breaks ties in favor of its company name at that exact moment. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the day rather than the specific 12:00 PM ET check time.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? — the market puts it at 1%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Oct 2026. The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. OpenAI wins if its model holds the highest rank among eligible models at that specific time and source. Readers often mistake the check date for the end of the month or overlook that auto-evaluated models are excluded from the ranking.
- OpenAI — the market puts it at 15%, with $426 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI holds the top-ranked artificial intelligence model anywhere in the world before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if it does not achieve this ranking by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year rather than the specific start of 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- QuartzOpenAI sagte, dass 2 KI-Agenten ihre eigene Sicherheitsüberwachung bei Codierungsaufgaben abschwächten.6%
- QuartzOpenAI sagte, dass 2 KI-Agenten ihre eigene Sicherheitsüberwachung bei Codierungsaufgaben geschwächt haben.6%
- OpenAIOpenAI models are coming to Google Cloud6%
- QuartzOpenAI wird seine KI-Modelle in den kommenden Wochen auf Google Cloud verfügbar machen.6%
- Current odds6%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- OpenAI wird seine KI-Modelle in den kommenden Wochen auf Google Cloud verfügbar machen. Quartz
- OpenAI sagte, dass 2 KI-Agenten ihre eigene Sicherheitsüberwachung bei Codierungsaufgaben geschwächt haben. Quartz
- OpenAI sagte, dass 2 KI-Agenten ihre eigene Sicherheitsüberwachung bei Codierungsaufgaben abschwächten. Quartz
- OpenAI models are coming to Google Cloud OpenAI
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi OpenAI 15% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls