Ohio Gubernatorial Nominee Amy Acton Calls Vivek Ramaswamy a Danger to the State Hot: Odds moved 31 points in 24 hours
Amy Acton claims her opponent Vivek Ramaswamy is out of touch and dangerous to Ohio during their gubernatorial campaign.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 17:37 UTC | 20% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 17:59 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Amy Acton, 4-6% — the market puts it at 1%, with $968 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Amy Acton wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by a margin between 4% and 6%. It resolves to No if her victory margin falls outside that specific range. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria, but only the final official election results determine the outcome.
- Vivek Ramaswamy — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio after the 2026 election. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a primary clash for the final outcome, but only the official inauguration determines the result.
- Acton, 3+ pts — the market puts it at 100%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by a margin of at least three percentage points. It resolves to No if the Democratic candidate loses or wins by less than that margin. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amy Acton for the actual resolution criteria.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Amy Acton, 4-6% 1% −19
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Vivek Ramaswamy No 2h ago
The market favoured No at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Acton, 3+ pts 100% +31
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Amy Acton
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- Ohio