NY Mayor Mamdani Faces Backlash for Attending October 7 Vigil
Crowds call New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani a traitor after he attends an October 7 vigil.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 8 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 84% |
| 8 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 83% |
| 8 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 84% |
| 8 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 80% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 79% |
| 8 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 79% |
| 4 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 83% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 80% |
| 2 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 81% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 80% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 8 October at 14:07 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 7h 25m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 8 October at 21:31 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Zohran Mamdani — the market puts it at 85%, with $310 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Nov 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins the next New York City mayoral election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about planting an olive tree for the actual election result.
- Before Jan 1, 2030 — the market puts it at 32%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani stops serving as Mayor of New York City before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if he remains in office through that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a subway ride for an event that changes his mayoral status.
- Zohran / Mamdani — the market puts it at 77%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly names Zohran Mamdani during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York, which was originally scheduled for October 9, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not mention Mamdani at that specific event. Readers often mistakenly believe that any public comment or rally outside of this designated event counts toward the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Zohran Mamdani 85% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2030 32%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Zohran / Mamdani 77% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Zohran Mamdani