Zohran / Mamdani
Why it moved: +9 points at 14:44 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: New York Mayor Mamdani under fire for attending October 7 vigil — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 8 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 77% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 76% |
| 8 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 74% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 73% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 72% |
| 8 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 72% |
| 8 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 73% |
| 8 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 73% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 74% |
| 7 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 65% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly names Zohran Mamdani during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York, which was originally scheduled for October 9, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not mention Mamdani at that specific event. Readers often mistakenly believe that any public comment or rally outside of this designated event counts toward the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%