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Nvidia Stock Approaches Cheapest Valuation in a Decade Despite Booming Profits

Shares trade at less than 17 times forward earnings, half the 2025 multiple, as revenue and net income are expected to surge.

2 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 22 Sept 2026 · updated 44d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%50%100%80%12 Sept, 14:52 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: Nvidia Among Top Traded US Credit Swaps as Hedging Demand Soars · 23 Sept, 19:46 UTCBloomberg Markets: Nvidia’s Valuation Comes Back Down to Earth · 22 Sept, 10:45 UTCQuartz: Wall Street Analysts Think Nvidia (NVDA) Is a Good Investment: Is It? · 22 Sept, 21:10 UTCQuartz: Wall-Street-Analysten halten Nvidia (NVDA) für eine gute Investition: Ist das so? · 22 Sept, 21:10 UTCQuartz: Nvidia stock is approaching its cheapest valuation in a decade despite booming profits · 22 Sept, 13:20 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now80%
30 Sept, 08:13 UTC80%
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13 Sept, 20:33 UTC72%
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12 Sept, 14:52 UTC75%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 22 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 22 September at 10:45 UTC; Quartz followed 2h 35m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 23 September at 19:46 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Quartz.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 80%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on December 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company holding that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but only the market cap value on the specified final day matters.
  • Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? — resolved “No” on 30 Sept 2026. For NVIDIA to win, it must hold the second-largest market capitalization globally at 4 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The outcome depends on a consensus of credible financial reporting regarding company valuations at that specific time.
  • Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? — resolved “Yes” on 30 Sept 2026. NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on September 30, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company taking that lead by the deadline results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the deciding factor, but the resolution relies solely on verified financial data from credible reporting sources.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Bloomberg MarketsNvidia’s Valuation Comes Back Down to Earth76%
  2. QuartzNvidia stock is approaching its cheapest valuation in a decade despite booming profits78%▲2 points since the previous source
  3. QuartzWall Street Analysts Think Nvidia (NVDA) Is a Good Investment: Is It?78%
  4. QuartzWall-Street-Analysten halten Nvidia (NVDA) für eine gute Investition: Ist das so?78%
  5. Bloomberg MarketsNvidia Among Top Traded US Credit Swaps as Hedging Demand Soars76%▼1 points since the previous source
  6. Current odds80%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Nvidia Among Top Traded US Credit Swaps as Hedging Demand Soars Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. Nvidia’s Valuation Comes Back Down to Earth Bloomberg Markets ·
  3. Wall Street Analysts Think Nvidia (NVDA) Is a Good Investment: Is It? Quartz
  4. Wall-Street-Analysten halten Nvidia (NVDA) für eine gute Investition: Ist das so? Quartz
  5. Nvidia stock is approaching its cheapest valuation in a decade despite booming profits Quartz

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 80% +1 $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? No 37d ago
    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes 37d ago

    The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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