Nvidia in Talks to Invest in Firmus After IPO Collapse

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 20 Oct 2026. theinformation.com published first, on 20 October at 22:09 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 1h 50m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Technology, appeared on 20 October at 23:59 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), theinformation.com.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Nvidia — the market puts it at 8%, with $191 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 73%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on December 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company holding that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but only the market cap value on the specified final day matters.
• Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 12%, with $520 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. NVIDIA must hold the second-largest global market capitalization at the market close on October 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to resolve. The No outcome resolves if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the linked news story about German startups as a factor in the resolution, but only the final market cap ranking matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.