Nvidia
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$35k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 04:30 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Nvidia releases an AI model ranked number one before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking source or assume any top-tier model counts instead of strictly #1.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%