North Korean Defectors View Kim's Daughter as Heir Apparent
Defectors describe the teenage daughter of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un as a figure revered like a god, fueling speculation she is being groomed for succession.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 11:41 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 06:36 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 06:09 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 04:35 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 01:06 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 23:18 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 22:06 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 18:38 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 17:36 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 17:22 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 13:03 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 05:35 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 04:28 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 03:43 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 23:11 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Nov, 19:11 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 05:38 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 11:34 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 08:07 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 08:31 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 22:39 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 11:33 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 10:43 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 06:05 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 05:57 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 09:57 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 10:31 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 01:17 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 0% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 22:45 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 13:12 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 11:10 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 10 Nov 2026. ABC News published first, on 10 November at 06:16 UTC; NPR World followed 8h 01m later. The most recent article, from NPR World, appeared on 10 November at 14:16 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 0%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Kim Jong Un permanently ceases to hold his office before January 1, 2027. Temporary removals, caretaker roles, or announced resignations do not count toward this result. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of 2027, but the market resolves at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 2%, with $424 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong Un stops being Supreme Leader at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, detention, or permanent inability to perform his duties. A public announcement of his departure before the deadline triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- ABC News‘Like gods reigning over humans’: Many defectors see daughter of North Korea's Kim as heir apparent1%
- ABC NewsHow North Korean defectors view Kim Jong Un's daughter as his possible successor1%
- NPR World'Like gods reigning over humans': Many defectors see daughter of North Korea's Kim as heir apparent1%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- 'Like gods reigning over humans': Many defectors see daughter of North Korea's Kim as heir apparent NPR World ·
- How North Korean defectors view Kim Jong Un's daughter as his possible successor ABC News ·
- ‘Like gods reigning over humans’: Many defectors see daughter of North Korea's Kim as heir apparent ABC News ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Alert me when the odds move
In this story
- Kim Jong Un