North Korea Releases Photos of Kim Jong Un to Dismiss Rumours of His Death Hot: $235k traded on its market in 24 hours
State media publishes images of the leader with his daughter to refute unsubstantiated reports regarding his health and potential succession.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 20 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 20 October at 05:17 UTC; BBC News followed 6h 28m later. The most recent article, from BBC News, appeared on 20 October at 11:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Times of India, BBC News.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $235k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kim Jong Un stops being Supreme Leader at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, detention, or permanent inability to perform his duties. A public announcement of his departure before the deadline triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later.
- Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 3%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if Kim Jong Un permanently ceases to hold his office before January 1, 2027. Temporary removals, caretaker roles, or announced resignations do not count toward this result. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of 2027, but the market resolves at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? 5% −3
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- Polymarket Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? 3% −1
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In this story
- Kim Jong Un