Gavin Newsom Says He Won't Run for President If Kamala Harris Does
The California governor stated he will not seek the Democratic nomination in 2028 if former Vice President Kamala Harris runs, citing electoral inefficiency.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Hill, 1h 03m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 17 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Sept, 10:48 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Sept, 08:28 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 04:33 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 03:38 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 02:22 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 01:45 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 20:47 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 20:05 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 16:43 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 17% |
| 15 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Sept, 07:44 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Sept, 00:05 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 23:44 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 21:03 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 18:38 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 18:21 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 17:53 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 07:09 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 04:47 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 04:21 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 03:15 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Sept, 02:37 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 02:19 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 16:30 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 14:21 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 11:12 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 10:19 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Sept, 00:29 UTC | 13% |
| 12 Sept, 23:57 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 14 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 14 September at 22:11 UTC; Washington Post followed 1h 04m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 15 September at 14:54 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Deadline, South China Morning Post, Fox News Politics.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 16%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 8%, with $17k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillNewsom says he won't run for president in 2028 if Harris does13%
- Washington PostGavin Newsom says he won’t run for president if Kamala Harris does13%
- DeadlineGavin Newsom On Kamala Harris: “I Wouldn’t Run If She Ran”13%
- The Guardian USGavin Newsom says he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does13%
- South China Morning PostNewsom won’t run for US president in 2028 if Harris does13%
- Fox News PoliticsNewsom roasted online for 'staged' fly-fishing interview with CNN anchor where he dropped major 2028 hint13%
- Current odds16%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Gavin Newsom says he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does The Guardian US ·
- Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president if Kamala Harris does Washington Post ·
- Newsom says he won't run for president in 2028 if Harris does The Hill ·
- Newsom roasted online for 'staged' fly-fishing interview with CNN anchor where he dropped major 2028 hint Fox News Politics
- Newsom won’t run for US president in 2028 if Harris does South China Morning Post
- Gavin Newsom On Kamala Harris: “I Wouldn’t Run If She Ran” Deadline
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 16%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Gavin Newsom
- Kamala Harris